Wednesday, November 15, 2006

Weather Forecast

Garrett County looks to get quite a bit of rain over the next 24 hours. A developing low over the south is moving northward and will pass to our west sometime tomorrow. Had this been December or if any cold air were tapped this could have been a snowstorm. As the low passes to our north and stalls it will wrap around colder air and may provide some lake effect snow showers Friday and the rest of the weekend. The weekend looks to be seasonably chilly with highs in the upper 30's and a chance at snow showers. There is a chance at another minor snow event early next week, however temps look to rebound going into Wednesday and Thanksgiving.

Garrett County Forecast:
  • Thursday - High in the upper 50's, heavy rain most of the day
  • Thursday Night - turning cooler, low in the upper 30's, drizzle
  • Friday - High in the upper 30's, chance of rain/snow showers
  • Friday Night - Low near 30, scattered snow showers
  • Saturday - High in the mid 30's, scattered snow showers
  • Saturday Night - Low mid 20's, snow showers likely
  • Sunday - High in the mid 30's, snow showers likely

Sunday, November 05, 2006

Local elevation

During the winter, much of Garrett County's propensity for snow is due in part to the region's elevation. With Deep Creek lake sitting at roughly 2400 ft, the areas surrounding the lake generally range from 2500 to 3000 ft. The following link lists various locations in Garrett County and identifies their elevation:

Additionally, if you click on the locations, you can view individual elevation maps of the given location.

Saturday, November 04, 2006

Mild Stretch

After a very chilly October and start to November, the longer range computer models are indicating a relaxing of the cold pattern for the next 10-14 days. We may not see any big snows during this time, but if there are any projects or events outdoors in the upcoming two weeks, it would be a perfect time to tie up any loose ends before winter in Garrett County begins.

Wednesday, November 01, 2006

More Snow on the Way?

You heard it here first...tonight's weather model runs are increasingly pointing towards a chance for some post-frontal, heavy wet snow overnight Wednesday into Thursday afternoon. Temperatures will be marginal, but I wouldn't be surprised to see another few inches in the Garrett County region over the next few days. The map below is the current American model, a surface depiction valid 1pm on Thursday.